Ruarai Tobin

I'm a PhD candidate in infectious disease modelling in the Infectious Disease Dynamics Unit at the University of Melbourne. My PhD is focused on integrating the complexities of the adaptive immune response into respiratory virus transmission models.

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Prior to the commencement of my PhD, I worked on modelling Plasmodium knowlesi malaria risk in Asia and supporting Australia's public health response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

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My publications can be found below, or on Google Scholar.

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Publications

• Tobin RJ, Walker CR, Moss R, McCaw JM, Price DJ, Shearer FM. A modular approach to forecasting COVID-19 hospital bed occupancy. medRxiv pre-print. (2024)

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• Tobin RJ, Harrison LE, Tully M, Lubis IND, Noviyanti R, Anstey NM, Rajahram GS, Grigg M, Flegg J, Price DJ, Shearer FM. Updating estimates of Plasmodium knowlesi malaria risk in response to changing land use patterns across Southeast Asia. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases. (2024)

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• Shearer FM, Edwards L, Kirk M, Eales O, Golding N, Hassall J, Liu B, Lydeamore M, Miller C, Moss R, Price DJ, Ryan GE, Sullivan S, Tobin RJ, Ward K, Kaldor J, Cheng AC, Wood J, McCaw JM. Opportunities to strengthen respiratory virus surveillance systems in Australia: lessons learned from the COVID-19 response. Communicable Diseases Intelligence. (2024)

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• Harrison LE, Flegg J, Tobin RJ, Lubis IN, Noviyanti R, Grigg M, Shearer FM, Price DJ. A multicriteria framework for disease surveillance site selection: case study for Plasmodium knowlesi malaria in Indonesia. Royal Society Open Science. (2024)

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• Zachreson C, Tobin RJ, Walker CR, Conway E, Shearer FM, McVernon J, Geard N. A model-based assessment of social isolation practices for COVID-19 outbreak response in residential care facilities. BMC Public Health. (2024)

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• Tobin RJ, Wood JG, Jayasundara D, Sara G, Walker CR, Martin GE, McCaw JM, Shearer FM, Price DJ. Real-time analysis of hospital length of stay in a mixed SARS-CoV-2 Omicron and Delta epidemic in New South Wales, Australia BMC Infectious Diseases. (2023)

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• Zachreson C, Tobin RJ, Szanyi J, Walker CR, Cromer D, Shearer FM, Conway E, Ryan G, Cheng A, McCaw JM, Geard N. Individual variation in vaccine immune response can produce bimodal distributions of protection. Vaccine. (2023)